Better Projections
Rankings

SEA - QB

Sam Darnold

#20 QBTier 3PPR 231.213.6 PPG8.3 expected games missed
PPR Expected231.213.6 PPG
Scoring

2026 Fantasy Outlook

Sam Darnold projects for a 2026 fantasy role with SEA at 231.2 PPR fantasy points, or 13.6 points per game, ranking QB20 in the Better Projections model.

His expected outcome sits between a 175.2-point floor and a 309.8-point ceiling over 17.0 projected games.

The projection is built around 3,371 passing yards, 25.5 passing touchdowns, and 150 rushing yards.

His projected positional value lands at Tier 3 among quarterbacks and overall VBD rank 138.

View 2026 QB rankings
PPR fantasy points231.2
Floor 175.2Expected 231.2Ceiling 309.8

Scoring Formats

Standard231.2
Half-PPR231.2
PPR231.2
Standard PPG13.6
Half-PPR PPG13.6
PPR PPG13.6
Expected Games Missed8.3

Personalized Value

12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEX
Overall Rank#1
Position Rank#20 QB
Dynamic VBD0.0
Auction Value$2400
PPR · 12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEXReplacement QB: Sam Darnold · QB12 · 231.2 ptsAuction values reserve minimum bids, then allocate remaining dollars by positive dynamic VBD. Projection stats remain unchanged.
Expected Points231.2
Replacement231.2
Bench in VBDNo
Auction Rank#1

Projected Stats

Games17.017.017.0
Pass Attempts344454608
Completions231305408
Passing Yards2,5543,3714,517
Passing TD19.325.534.1
INT11.511.511.5
Rushing Yards114150201
Rushing TD0.30.40.5
FloorExpectedCeiling

Dynasty Outlook

2026-2030 Projection Curve

View dynasty rankings
YearAgeExpectedConditional PPGRelevanceCurve
202629.2231.213.6100%
202730.2188.913.682%
202831.2135.414.256%
202932.2122.014.251%
203033.268.413.829%

Actual Results

Fantasy History

SeasonTeamGamesFantasy PointsPPGFinishPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TD
2025SEA17243.414.3QB144,0482514950
2024MIN17316.018.6QB94,31935122121
2023SF1025.42.5QB5229721151
2022CAR690.315.0QB351,143731062
2021CAR12163.313.6QB282,5279132225
2020NYJ12136.011.3QB312,2089112172
2019NYJ13189.214.6QB283,0241913622
2018NYJ13172.113.2QB272,86517151351