Better Projections
Rankings

KC - QB

Patrick Mahomes

#4 QBTier 1PPR 334.119.7 PPG1.2 expected games missed
PPR Expected334.119.7 PPG
Scoring

2026 Fantasy Outlook

Patrick Mahomes projects for a 2026 fantasy role with KC at 334.1 PPR fantasy points, or 19.7 points per game, ranking QB4 in the Better Projections model.

His expected outcome sits between a 291.8-point floor and a 374.0-point ceiling over 17.0 projected games.

The projection is built around 4,504 passing yards, 29.3 passing touchdowns, and 361 rushing yards.

His projected positional value lands at Tier 1 among quarterbacks, 53.9 PPR VBD, and overall VBD rank 34.

View 2026 QB rankings
PPR fantasy points334.1
Floor 291.8Expected 334.1Ceiling 374.0

Scoring Formats

Standard334.1
Half-PPR334.1
PPR334.1
Standard PPG19.7
Half-PPR PPG19.7
PPR PPG19.7
Expected Games Missed1.2

Personalized Value

12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEX
Overall Rank#1
Position Rank#4 QB
Dynamic VBD0.0
Auction Value$2400
PPR · 12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEXReplacement QB: Patrick Mahomes · QB12 · 334.1 ptsAuction values reserve minimum bids, then allocate remaining dollars by positive dynamic VBD. Projection stats remain unchanged.
Expected Points334.1
Replacement334.1
Bench in VBDNo
Auction Rank#1

Projected Stats

Games17.017.017.0
Pass Attempts528605677
Completions347398445
Passing Yards3,9344,5045,041
Passing TD25.629.332.8
INT11.511.511.5
Rushing Yards316361405
Rushing TD3.43.94.4
FloorExpectedCeiling

Dynasty Outlook

2026-2030 Projection Curve

View dynasty rankings
YearAgeExpectedConditional PPGRelevanceCurve
202631.0334.119.7100%
202732.0268.517.888%
202833.0199.617.368%
202934.0198.817.467%
203035.0192.417.565%

Actual Results

Fantasy History

SeasonTeamGamesFantasy PointsPPGFinishPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TD
2025KC14281.720.1QB113,58722114225
2024KC16283.017.7QB123,92826113072
2023KC16286.217.9QB84,18327143890
2022KC17411.424.2QB15,25041123584
2021KC17365.721.5QB44,83937133812
2020KC15372.424.8QB54,7403863082
2019KC14289.020.6QB74,0312652182
2018KC16419.126.2QB15,09750122722
2017KC110.410.4QB5328401100