Scoring Formats
Standard334.1
Half-PPR334.1
PPR334.1
Standard PPG19.7
Half-PPR PPG19.7
PPR PPG19.7
Expected Games Missed1.2
KC - QB
Patrick Mahomes projects for a 2026 fantasy role with KC at 334.1 PPR fantasy points, or 19.7 points per game, ranking QB4 in the Better Projections model.
His expected outcome sits between a 291.8-point floor and a 374.0-point ceiling over 17.0 projected games.
The projection is built around 4,504 passing yards, 29.3 passing touchdowns, and 361 rushing yards.
His projected positional value lands at Tier 1 among quarterbacks, 53.9 PPR VBD, and overall VBD rank 34.
Dynasty Outlook
| Year | Age | Expected | Conditional PPG | Relevance | Curve |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31.0 | 334.1 | 19.7 | 100% | |
| 2027 | 32.0 | 268.5 | 17.8 | 88% | |
| 2028 | 33.0 | 199.6 | 17.3 | 68% | |
| 2029 | 34.0 | 198.8 | 17.4 | 67% | |
| 2030 | 35.0 | 192.4 | 17.5 | 65% |
Actual Results
| Season | Team | Games | Fantasy Points | PPG | Finish | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | KC | 14 | 281.7 | 20.1 | QB11 | 3,587 | 22 | 11 | 422 | 5 |
| 2024 | KC | 16 | 283.0 | 17.7 | QB12 | 3,928 | 26 | 11 | 307 | 2 |
| 2023 | KC | 16 | 286.2 | 17.9 | QB8 | 4,183 | 27 | 14 | 389 | 0 |
| 2022 | KC | 17 | 411.4 | 24.2 | QB1 | 5,250 | 41 | 12 | 358 | 4 |
| 2021 | KC | 17 | 365.7 | 21.5 | QB4 | 4,839 | 37 | 13 | 381 | 2 |
| 2020 | KC | 15 | 372.4 | 24.8 | QB5 | 4,740 | 38 | 6 | 308 | 2 |
| 2019 | KC | 14 | 289.0 | 20.6 | QB7 | 4,031 | 26 | 5 | 218 | 2 |
| 2018 | KC | 16 | 419.1 | 26.2 | QB1 | 5,097 | 50 | 12 | 272 | 2 |
| 2017 | KC | 1 | 10.4 | 10.4 | QB53 | 284 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |