Scoring Formats
Standard20.6
Half-PPR20.6
PPR20.6
Standard PPG6.9
Half-PPR PPG6.9
PPR PPG6.9
Expected Games Missed1.0
HOU - QB
Davis Mills
PPR Expected20.66.9 PPG
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Davis Mills projects for a limited 2026 fantasy role with HOU at 20.6 PPR fantasy points, or 6.9 points per game, ranking QB49 in the Better Projections model.
His expected outcome sits between a 3.2-point floor and a 36.4-point ceiling over 3.0 projected games.
The projection is built around 1,935 passing yards and 5.8 passing touchdowns.
That profile places him in Tier 6 among quarterbacks.
PPR fantasy points20.6
Floor 3.2Expected 20.6Ceiling 36.4
Personalized Value
12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEX
Overall Rank#1
Position Rank#49 QB
Dynamic VBD0.0
Auction Value$2400
PPR · 12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEXReplacement QB: Davis Mills · QB12 · 20.6 ptsAuction values reserve minimum bids, then allocate remaining dollars by positive dynamic VBD. Projection stats remain unchanged.
Expected Points20.6
Replacement20.6
Bench in VBDNo
Auction Rank#1
Projected Stats
Games3.03.03.0
Pass Attempts50327579
Completions29188334
Passing Yards2971,9353,429
Passing TD0.95.810.3
INT1.11.11.1
Rushing Yards17111196
Rushing TD0.21.22.1
FloorExpectedCeiling
Dynasty Outlook
2026-2030 Projection Curve
| Year | Age | Expected | Conditional PPG | Relevance | Curve |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27.9 | 20.6 | 6.9 | 100% | |
| 2027 | 28.9 | 22.2 | 11.1 | 12% | |
| 2028 | 29.9 | 19.5 | 11.3 | 10% | |
| 2029 | 30.9 | 11.1 | 11.6 | 6% | |
| 2030 | 31.9 | 6.5 | 12.6 | 3% |
Actual Results
Fantasy History
| Season | Team | Games | Fantasy Points | PPG | Finish | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | HOU | 6 | 66.6 | 11.1 | QB41 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
| 2024 | HOU | 4 | 9.6 | 2.4 | QB61 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| 2023 | HOU | 5 | 15.8 | 3.2 | QB59 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2022 | HOU | 15 | 185.5 | 12.4 | QB21 | 3,118 | 17 | 15 | 108 | 2 |
| 2021 | HOU | 13 | 155.0 | 11.9 | QB29 | 2,664 | 16 | 10 | 44 | 0 |